Interporto vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
48%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 0
INT
68%
22%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
GAM
17%
23%
59%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 2
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
TOC
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
4 - 3
GUA
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 2
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 3
TOC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |