Internos vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
WSC
7 - 1
INT
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
INT
2 - 3
NUE
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
0 - 1
INT
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
INT
0 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
DON
0 - 2
OSS
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
OSS
2 - 0
WSC
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NUE
1 - 0
OSS
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 1
OSS
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OSS
3 - 0
GEL
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |