Inter vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 2
INT
12%
20%
69%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
23%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
0 - 1
INT
15%
20%
65%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
REG
0 - 2
INT
6%
15%
79%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BET
1 - 1
INT
27%
24%
49%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
VNZ
2 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 2
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |