Champions League . Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
INT
4 - 2
SAS
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 2
INT
32%
26%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 2
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
VER
0 - 6
INT
13%
22%
65%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
ACM
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 2
INT
32%
26%
43%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 1
USC
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |