Inter vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 1
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
INT
2 - 2
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
INT
3 - 2
BOL
75%
16%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
JUV
17%
26%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
0 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
4 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATL
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |