Inter vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 0
INT
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
INT
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 2
CRO
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
5 - 2
BEN
86%
11%
3%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 2
NAP
5%
13%
82%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
BEN
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |