Inter vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 5
INT
30%
25%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
INT
1 - 3
ROM
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
EMP
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NAP
0 - 2
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 3
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |