Inter vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 1
INT
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 2
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 2
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
UDI
23%
26%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 0
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
JUV
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |