Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Inter U19 vs Lazio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VER
0 - 1
INT
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 1
INT
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ATA
1 - 1
INT
33%
25%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
LAZ
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAZ
7 - 2
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 1
INT
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
LAZ
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PES
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |