Internacional vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 2
SCI
21%
29%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
JUV
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
SCI
21%
28%
50%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
ABC
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
OES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 2
CEA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FFL
3 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |