Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 3-3
Internacional vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SCI
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 1
CAX
87%
11%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
14%
26%
60%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
4 - 1
ESP
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCI
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 3
SPO
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 0
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CSA
11%
22%
67%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
0 - 0
CRB
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
0 - 1
CSA
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |