Internacional vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 2
SCI
8%
17%
75%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCI
4 - 1
ECS
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
SCI
3 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SCI
3 - 1
CAN
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCI
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 1
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
3 - 2
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 0
NOV
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PAS
1 - 2
CAX
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 0
CAN
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |