Intercap CF vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
72.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Intercap CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 0
ITC
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 5
ITC
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ITC
1 - 4
BEN
18%
19%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BIG
4 - 5
ITC
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ITC
1 - 3
BEN
39%
20%
41%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 0
BEN
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BIG
0 - 3
FOR
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 2
BEN
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
FOR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 3
RAC
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |