Inter FA vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
11º
11º
3
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 41 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 39 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 36 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 33 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 33 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 29 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 25 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 19 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 16 |
12º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
12% | 76% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
INT
0 - 0
FUE
19%
23%
59%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
INT
65%
21%
14%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | +1 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CDC
9%
15%
77%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
FIR
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |