Inter de Limeira vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
INT
0 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
BAN
1 - 0
INT
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
INT
2 - 1
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
INT
1 - 0
CEA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
3 - 0
INT
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
NAU
2 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1987 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIO
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
JEC
2 - 1
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1987 |
CRI
2 - 0
NAU
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1987 |
CRZ
1 - 0
NAU
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -4 |