Insubria vs Valceresio Audax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Insubria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 0
INS
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
ANT
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RAS
4 - 1
INS
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
6 - 0
INS
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
INS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valceresio Audax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 2
VAL
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
BRE
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 2
VAL
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 1
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |