Insubria vs Rasa Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Insubria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
MOR
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOR
4 - 0
INS
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
BRE
17%
20%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 2
INS
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
INS
3 - 4
BES
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rasa Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RAS
0 - 2
ARS
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 1
RAS
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RAS
3 - 3
ISP
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GOR
2 - 0
RAS
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RAS
1 - 1
ANG
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |