Instituto vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
INS
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
AGR
2 - 0
INS
43%
28%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
SAC
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 1
INS
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
INS
3 - 2
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAC
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 0
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 2
FER
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
IRV
3 - 1
DEF
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
QUI
27%
30%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |