Instituto vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
STM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 2
INS
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
SMA
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
INS
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
GBR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 3
DEF
35%
33%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 6
SUA
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
DEF
35%
31%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
DEF
34%
32%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |