Instituto vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 2
TAL
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 2
ARG
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
INS
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
CEN
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
RIV
11%
19%
69%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
RIV
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IRV
4 - 0
RIV
13%
20%
67%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |