Instituto Santiago vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 1
INS
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
SAR
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
INS
2 - 1
AND
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
INS
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
POL
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
AND
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CAG
2 - 1
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
VSR
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
POL
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |