IAPE vs Tuntum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
IAP
1 - 0
MAR
14%
19%
66%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 0
IAP
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 1
IAP
52%
21%
26%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PMA
0 - 2
IAP
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIA
1 - 2
IAP
17%
19%
65%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tuntum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
IMP
0 - 0
TEC
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 1
IAP
52%
21%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VIA
1 - 3
TEC
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TEC
2 - 1
PMA
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 1
MOT
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |