IAPE vs Tuntum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
IAP
1 - 0
COR
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
JOS
2 - 0
IAP
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
IAP
0 - 1
SAM
8%
15%
78%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 1
IAP
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PMA
1 - 0
IAP
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tuntum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
TEC
0 - 3
CRZ
5%
13%
82%
|
22 | 76 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TEC
0 - 0
PMA
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
TEC
4 - 2
VOL
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TEC
1 - 1
JOS
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 2
COR
18%
19%
64%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |