IAPE vs São José MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IAP
1 - 1
IMP
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
IAP
4 - 1
BAC
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +5 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VIA
0 - 0
IAP
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
IAP
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 0
IAP
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
São José MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
JOS
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
JOS
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
VIA
1 - 1
JOS
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
JOS
2 - 4
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
IAP
2 - 2
JOS
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |