IAPE vs São José MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
IAP
0 - 3
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
IAP
2 - 1
MOT
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
IAP
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
JOS
2 - 1
IAP
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
IAP
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
São José MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
MOT
2 - 2
JOS
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JOS
0 - 2
SAM
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
JOS
0 - 2
IMP
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 4
JOS
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
JOS
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |