Maranhense Semi-finals
Global 1-5
IAPE vs JV Lideral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
IAP
1 - 0
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
IAP
2 - 2
JOS
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
IAP
0 - 3
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
IAP
2 - 1
MOT
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
IAP
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
JV Lideral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 0
IMP
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
JVL
2 - 2
SEN
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 0
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BAC
3 - 0
JVL
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
JVL
5 - 1
MAR
60%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |