Maranhense Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
IAPE vs Juventude Caxais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 0
IAP
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
IAP
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
IAP
6 - 0
BAC
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +4 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PMA
2 - 2
IAP
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
JOS
0 - 0
IAP
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Juventude Caxais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 0
IAP
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 1
JCA
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
JCA
1 - 2
BAC
50%
22%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
IMP
0 - 0
JCA
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
JCA
0 - 2
OPE
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |