IAPE vs Bacabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PMA
2 - 2
IAP
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
JOS
0 - 0
IAP
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
IAP
0 - 2
MOT
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 2
IAP
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 0
IAP
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAC
2 - 4
MOT
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BAC
2 - 1
JOS
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BAC
0 - 4
PMA
55%
20%
25%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BAC
0 - 4
SAM
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
BAC
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +6 |