IAPE vs Bacabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IAPE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VIA
0 - 0
IAP
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
IAP
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 0
IAP
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
IAP
1 - 2
JVL
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
IAP
1 - 0
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BAC
0 - 2
QUI
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 3
BAC
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
BAC
0 - 0
SAM
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 0
BAC
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 1
BAC
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |