Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 2
INS
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 1
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 1
INS
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 4
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 1
WAR
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
WAR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 1
GLE
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
LIN
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |