Institute vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 3
INS
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
PSN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PSN
1 - 4
LOU
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
5 - 2
PSN
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
PSN
3 - 1
QUB
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
QUB
5 - 1
PSN
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |