Institute vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PSN
2 - 3
INS
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
KNO
0 - 2
INS
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 1
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
PSN
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PSN
2 - 3
INS
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
PSN
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
PSN
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
PSN
4 - 1
LIM
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |