Institute vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 2
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DER
1 - 5
INS
31%
24%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 4
INS
37%
24%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
PSN
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PSN
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 3
WAR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
PSN
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |