Institute vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
INS
3 - 1
HAR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PSN
4 - 4
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
PSN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 5
PSN
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PSN
0 - 1
KNO
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PSN
0 - 1
BAN
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |