Institute vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 3
INS
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 1
TOB
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MOY
0 - 2
INS
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
INS
3 - 0
COA
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 3
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
POR
3 - 2
ARD
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
POR
0 - 3
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DUN
4 - 2
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
POR
0 - 3
BAN
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |