Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
HAR
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KNO
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
LIM
2 - 2
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
INS
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 4
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
LOU
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |