Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 3
POR
35%
24%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |