Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 4
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
LAR
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 2
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
ZAL
2 - 0
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
ZAL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 3
POR
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |