Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 0
INS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
INS
0 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 3
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
INS
0 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
INS
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CRU
0 - 5
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
POR
5 - 1
OMA
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
47%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
POR
1 - 5
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |