Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
INS
3 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
POR
3 - 1
OMA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
GLE
0 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
POR
1 - 2
COL
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ARD
0 - 2
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
CLI
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |