Institute vs Omagh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 1
INS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 1
COL
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Omagh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 3
GLE
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
OMA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 3
CRU
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ARD
2 - 0
OMA
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 8
LIN
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |