Institute vs Omagh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
POR
3 - 3
INS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
7 - 0
INS
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
OMA
4 - 1
INS
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
INS
0 - 4
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Omagh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
OMA
1 - 7
SHA
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 0
OMA
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
OMA
3 - 5
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 0
OMA
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
OMA
0 - 2
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |