Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 3
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 2
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 2
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CLI
0 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 3
LIS
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |