Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
CLI
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
BAL
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CLI
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
POR
25%
22%
52%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAN
48%
23%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |