Institute vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
INS
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LCE
2 - 1
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SYL
0 - 1
LCE
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 1
LCE
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LCE
0 - 2
AUN
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LCE
0 - 2
ARC
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |