Institute vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KNO
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
INS
5 - 2
SYL
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
INS
50%
22%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
AUN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LCE
0 - 2
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 1
KNO
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
LCE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
LCE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
LCE
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |