Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
INS
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
4 - 0
INS
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AUN
2 - 2
INS
67%
18%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 0
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 2
KNO
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
LOU
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 3
LOU
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
ARD
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
LOU
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |