Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
INS
2 - 0
WAR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DER
2 - 4
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 3
LAR
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOU
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |