Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LCE
0 - 1
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
HAR
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KNO
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 2
LCE
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LIM
3 - 1
LOU
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 1
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAL
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |