Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
PSN
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 2
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DER
1 - 5
INS
31%
24%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 4
INS
37%
24%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
LOU
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 0
DER
58%
21%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
PSN
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 0
LOU
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 4
INS
37%
24%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |